Definitely-Not-Super Tuesday 2016: The night the GOP tapestry was torn in two


I was going to write a detailed post comparing the final polling averages of the Super Tuesday primary states with the final election results. Decision Desk HQ is a brilliant grassroots resource for live updated results at a glance, and Real Clear Politics’ polling data is second to none. But then I realized, as we all have at some visceral level this year, that lol nothing matters.

But Rubio won a state! lol nothing matters. But my candidate can unite the party at the convention! lol nothing matters. But Trump dramatically underperformed in several states! lol nothing matters. But thresholds were reached and delegates split, keeping Trump from sweeping! lol nothing matters.

The polling data has been decoded, analyzed, spun, and compared to primary and caucus results in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada to try to justify various candidates’ continued viability in the wake of the Trump juggernaut. It’s beyond apparent that it all amounts to slightly less than Ben Carson’s chance of being elected to anything ever.

As of this writing, Marco Rubio has won a single caucus state (not just tonight - ever), Ted Cruz has added Texas and Oklahoma to his previous Iowa victory, and Donald Trump has won literally everything else. Every debate, every candidate exit, every Twitter campaign, every attack ad, every PAC strategy has failed to slow the budding fascist’s momentum.

Trump’s overall poll average has had minor ups and downs (primarily after his loss in Iowa), but it is still way up and not showing any signs of since the campaign really hit the ground in early states in December. He has won in New England, in the Midwest, and in the South.

As long as he has more than one primary opponent, Trump will keep winning. None of those opponents appear humble enough to prevent that from happening. Rubio and Kasich both face their home states on March 15, along with a handful of other states. Trump is projected to win them all.

At that point, Ted Cruz will have the only viable argument for remaining in the race. By that point, it may not matter. Beginning with those March 15 states, most of the rest of the campaign will be winner-take-all for delegates; second and third place will be irrelevant.

The nomination may be all but clinched by March 15. As of March 1 and the existing campaigns’ perspectives, it might as well be.

It’s now all but certain that Donald Trump will be the Republican nominee. The only remaining question is if the half of the Republican party who now says they won’t support him will stand with principle over party and abstain, write-in, or vote another party in November.

Never Trump. Not even once.

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